After a mid-year lull with increased vacancy and negative absorption, the industrial sector ended the year on a positive note with net absorption posting an impressive 2,799,105 SF. This boost was needed following two negative net absorption quarters totaling -984,698 SF absorbed. While the sector is still in the early stages of recovery, the increased activity and new construction deliveries indicate long term improvement. Over the next year, as deliveries begin to slow after the surge in 2013 and tenant demand increases as confidence is rebuilt, vacancy levels will constrict and help stabilize the sector as it begins to fully recover. The dramatic increase of space places Phoenix in a “prepared” position to accommodate a range of big box users with immediate requirements that will be necessary as the local market rebuilds and flushes out smaller, older space to accommodate the new wave of larger tenants.
Tag Archives: industrial
Q3 2013 – NAI Horizon Industrial Market Report
The industrial sector has leveled out after years of positive activity even during the recession. In the past several years, the sector performed better than other sectors in Metro Phoenix due to high demand and low inventory. After an impressive first quarter of this year with 1.3 million SF absorbed, the second and now third quarter of 2013 have not followed suit. Vacancy has ticked higher this quarter and last primarily due to large deliveries of distribution space, over 3.9 million SF this year, and obsolete space that continues to plague the market. At least 25% of the industrial inventory in Phoenix can be considered obsolete, while some areas, such as the Sky Harbor submarket, are looking at an even higher percentage of untenantable space. This leaves room for new development that is currently needed to meet demand, and can adapt to the new needs of the changing market. In the Southwest Valley, shovel ready sites are awaiting the possibility of large users moving into the market, either from leaving less hospitable markets, or from the change e-commerce continues to have on the industrial and retail markets. As the traditional shopping experience evolves, larger warehouses to support online shopping will increase the amount of big box spaces needed. However, in preparing for these possibilities, and as larger tenants have hit the Phoenix market, these big box spaces have skewed the real picture of vacancy in the valley; smaller freestanding buildings, 10,000-50,000 SF, continue to be in higher demand. Despite the lull seen in the last two quarters as users and investors proceed cautiously due to economic uncertainty, the long term prospects for the Phoenix industrial market look positive.
Q2 2013 – NAI Industrial Market Report
The local industrial market has served as a model of what recovery can look like, even in hard hit metropolitans like Phoenix whose housing market was crushed. Over the past several years, this sector has regained momentum posting positive absorption consistently for the past 3 years while vacancy has declined steadily from the high of 17% seen at the beginning of 2010. Tremendous strides have been made in the industrial market, but not without minor hiccups. This quarter, leasing activity fell to levels seen at the beginning of 2009, and the steady decline in vacancy rates stalled due to a large amount of vacant delivered space. Even with the slowing of pace so far this year, the sector can be expected to improve in the second half of the year as the local economy continues to ramp up.
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