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Phoenix Mid-Year Office Market Report

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“The Phoenix commercial real estate market is continuing to recover quarter over quarter albeit slowly but surely. This increase in activity is touching every product sector; Office, Retail, Industrial and Investment. While vacancy rates continue to decline, some pricing has increased, and absorption has been positive, with submarkets in the valley in all products showing increased activity. The Phoenix market seems to be more confident than the actual economy might dictate, but Phoenix is drawing positive attention nationally in many areas and consumer confidence is following. Most agree that 2014 is a good foundation for 2015, which will be the year when RECOVERY will be spelled with capital letters.”

-Thad Seligman | President/CEO | NAI Horizon

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Phoenix 1Q14 Retail Snapshot

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The first quarter of 2014 showed continued improvement in nearly every market category, verifying that the retail market is building on the strength of 2013. Retail rents progressed and rose almost a percentage and a half from the end of 2013, averaging $14.09 throughout the first quarter of 2014, up from $13.91 at the end of 2013. Construction statistics also continued to make significant gains, which indicates that the demand for space is there, which should also help retail rates continue to rise.

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The market continues to gain in transactions in all submarkets. Overall sales and lease numbers continued to grow, and the amount of overall transactions in the retail market were a direct reflection of that. We saw a first quarter trend of move-in leases of numerous spaces of 140,000 SF and over, and saw nearly 30% of the sales transactions gather $150 per square foot. The  improving supply of quality retail space, coupled with Phoenix’s progressing economy, continue to drive lease rates upward.

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Phoenix 1Q14 Industrial Snapshot

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After an impressive end to 2013, the industrial sector slowed slightly this quarter; both leasing activity and sales volume decreased. Rental rates inched upwards in Q1, continuing the long term trend of increasing rates. Despite positive first quarter absorption, vacancy rates saw a small increase in Q1. However, long-term vacancy trends continue to decline in all industrial property types, except for big box inventory.

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In Q4 of 2013, net absorption totalled 2,669,041 SF, making up for a slow Q2 and Q3 that posted negative numbers. 2014 was vibrant with activity in the first couple months, but fizzled into a net absorption of only 479,422 SF. This decrease was reflected in leasing activity as well; last quarter 4.3 million SF was leased in the Phoenix Metro industrial market, while just 2.2 million SF was leased in the first quarter of 2014. Sales Volume also fell this quarter, coming in at $176 million, down from the $331 million seen at the end of 2013.

Read more by downloading the full report.